Marshall Thundering Herd beat Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 28-26, a 2-points margin. We projected Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 26.0-26.0 Marshall Thundering Herd and gave Marshall Thundering Herd a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our CFB model rates Marshall Thundering Herd as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 41% / Marshall Thundering Herd 59%. Projected Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 26 — 26 Marshall Thundering Herd.
Our CFB model rates Marshall Thundering Herd as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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