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Colgate Raiders vs Central Michigan Chippewas — 2026-09-12

1:00 PM ETKelly/Shorts StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Central Michigan Chippewas beat Colgate Raiders 13-10, a 3-points margin. We projected Colgate Raiders 26.0-26.0 Central Michigan Chippewas and gave Central Michigan Chippewas a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Colgate Raiders
41%
Central Michigan Chippewas
59%
Projected
Raiders 26.0 - 26.0 Chippewas

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Central Michigan Chippewas as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Colgate Raiders would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Colgate Raiders
No recent games on file.
Central Michigan Chippewas
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Colgate Raiders 41% / Central Michigan Chippewas 59%. Projected Colgate Raiders 26 — 26 Central Michigan Chippewas.

Our CFB model rates Central Michigan Chippewas as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Colgate Raiders would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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