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Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Colorado Buffaloes — 2026-10-03

7:30 PM ETFolsom FieldCFBFINAL
Recap

Texas Tech Red Raiders beat Colorado Buffaloes 29-7, a 22-points margin. We projected Texas Tech Red Raiders 26.0-26.0 Colorado Buffaloes and gave Colorado Buffaloes a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Texas Tech Red Raiders
41%
Colorado Buffaloes
59%
Projected
Raiders 26.0 - 26.0 Buffaloes

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Colorado Buffaloes as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Texas Tech Red Raiders would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Texas Tech Red Raiders
No recent games on file.
Colorado Buffaloes
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Texas Tech Red Raiders 41% / Colorado Buffaloes 59%. Projected Texas Tech Red Raiders 26 — 26 Colorado Buffaloes.

Our CFB model rates Colorado Buffaloes as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Texas Tech Red Raiders would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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