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Murray State Racers vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders — 2026-09-05

7:45 PM ETJohnny "Red" Floyd StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders beat Murray State Racers 38-14, a 24-points margin. We projected Murray State Racers 26.0-26.0 Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders and gave Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Murray State Racers
41%
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
59%
Projected
Racers 26.0 - 26.0 Raiders

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Murray State Racers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Murray State Racers
No recent games on file.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Murray State Racers 41% / Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 59%. Projected Murray State Racers 26 — 26 Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders.

Our CFB model rates Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Murray State Racers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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