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Youngstown State Penguins vs Kentucky Wildcats — 2026-09-05

1:00 PM ETKroger FieldCFBFINAL
Recap

Kentucky Wildcats beat Youngstown State Penguins 45-13, a 32-points margin. We projected Youngstown State Penguins 26.0-26.0 Kentucky Wildcats and gave Kentucky Wildcats a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Youngstown State Penguins
41%
Kentucky Wildcats
59%
Projected
Penguins 26.0 - 26.0 Wildcats

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Kentucky Wildcats as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Youngstown State Penguins would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Youngstown State Penguins
No recent games on file.
Kentucky Wildcats
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Youngstown State Penguins 41% / Kentucky Wildcats 59%. Projected Youngstown State Penguins 26 — 26 Kentucky Wildcats.

Our CFB model rates Kentucky Wildcats as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Youngstown State Penguins would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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