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Georgia State Panthers vs Kennesaw State Owls — 2026-09-12

7:00 PM ETWalens Family Field at Fifth Third StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Georgia State Panthers beat Kennesaw State Owls 31-17, a 14-points margin. We projected Georgia State Panthers 26.0-26.0 Kennesaw State Owls and gave Kennesaw State Owls a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Georgia State Panthers
41%
Kennesaw State Owls
59%
Projected
Panthers 26.0 - 26.0 Owls

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Kennesaw State Owls as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Georgia State Panthers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Georgia State Panthers
No recent games on file.
Kennesaw State Owls
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Georgia State Panthers 41% / Kennesaw State Owls 59%. Projected Georgia State Panthers 26 — 26 Kennesaw State Owls.

Our CFB model rates Kennesaw State Owls as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Georgia State Panthers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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