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Nevada Wolf Pack vs UTEP Miners — 2026-10-10

7:00 PM ETSun BowlCFBFINAL
Recap

Nevada Wolf Pack beat UTEP Miners 30-13, a 17-points margin. We projected Nevada Wolf Pack 26.0-26.0 UTEP Miners and gave UTEP Miners a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Nevada Wolf Pack
41%
UTEP Miners
59%
Projected
Pack 26.0 - 26.0 Miners

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates UTEP Miners as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Nevada Wolf Pack would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Nevada Wolf Pack
No recent games on file.
UTEP Miners
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Nevada Wolf Pack 41% / UTEP Miners 59%. Projected Nevada Wolf Pack 26 — 26 UTEP Miners.

Our CFB model rates UTEP Miners as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Nevada Wolf Pack would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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