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Florida Atlantic Owls vs Florida Gators — 2026-09-05

7:45 PM ETBen Hill Griffin StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Florida Gators beat Florida Atlantic Owls 66-21, a 45-points margin. We projected Florida Atlantic Owls 26.0-26.0 Florida Gators and gave Florida Gators a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Florida Atlantic Owls
41%
Florida Gators
59%
Projected
Owls 26.0 - 26.0 Gators

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Florida Gators as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Florida Atlantic Owls would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Florida Atlantic Owls
No recent games on file.
Florida Gators
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Florida Atlantic Owls 41% / Florida Gators 59%. Projected Florida Atlantic Owls 26 — 26 Florida Gators.

Our CFB model rates Florida Gators as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Florida Atlantic Owls would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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