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Temple Owls vs South Florida Bulls — 2026-10-03

7:30 PM ETRaymond James StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Temple Owls beat South Florida Bulls 17-13, a 4-points margin. We projected Temple Owls 26.0-26.0 South Florida Bulls and gave South Florida Bulls a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Temple Owls
41%
South Florida Bulls
59%
Projected
Owls 26.0 - 26.0 Bulls

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates South Florida Bulls as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Temple Owls would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Temple Owls
No recent games on file.
South Florida Bulls
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Temple Owls 41% / South Florida Bulls 59%. Projected Temple Owls 26 — 26 South Florida Bulls.

Our CFB model rates South Florida Bulls as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Temple Owls would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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