SMU Mustangs beat Florida State Seminoles 27-24, a 3-points margin. We projected SMU Mustangs 26.0-26.0 Florida State Seminoles and gave Florida State Seminoles a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our CFB model rates Florida State Seminoles as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. SMU Mustangs would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: SMU Mustangs 41% / Florida State Seminoles 59%. Projected SMU Mustangs 26 — 26 Florida State Seminoles.
Our CFB model rates Florida State Seminoles as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. SMU Mustangs would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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