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App State Mountaineers vs NC State Wolfpack — 2026-09-26

7:30 PM ETCarter-Finley StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

NC State Wolfpack beat App State Mountaineers 41-31, a 10-points margin. We projected App State Mountaineers 26.0-26.0 NC State Wolfpack and gave NC State Wolfpack a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

App State Mountaineers
41%
NC State Wolfpack
59%
Projected
Mountaineers 26.0 - 26.0 Wolfpack

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates NC State Wolfpack as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. App State Mountaineers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

App State Mountaineers
No recent games on file.
NC State Wolfpack
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: App State Mountaineers 41% / NC State Wolfpack 59%. Projected App State Mountaineers 26 — 26 NC State Wolfpack.

Our CFB model rates NC State Wolfpack as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. App State Mountaineers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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