App State Mountaineers beat East Carolina Pirates 27-24, a 3-points margin. We projected App State Mountaineers 26.0-26.0 East Carolina Pirates and gave East Carolina Pirates a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our CFB model rates East Carolina Pirates as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. App State Mountaineers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: App State Mountaineers 41% / East Carolina Pirates 59%. Projected App State Mountaineers 26 — 26 East Carolina Pirates.
Our CFB model rates East Carolina Pirates as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. App State Mountaineers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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