Old Dominion Monarchs beat App State Mountaineers 10-3, a 7-points margin. We projected Old Dominion Monarchs 26.0-26.0 App State Mountaineers and gave App State Mountaineers a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our CFB model rates App State Mountaineers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Old Dominion Monarchs would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Old Dominion Monarchs 41% / App State Mountaineers 59%. Projected Old Dominion Monarchs 26 — 26 App State Mountaineers.
Our CFB model rates App State Mountaineers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Old Dominion Monarchs would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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