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UTEP Miners vs New Mexico Lobos — 2026-10-03

4:00 PM ETUniversity Stadium (NM)CFBFINAL
Recap

New Mexico Lobos beat UTEP Miners 61-7, a 54-points margin. We projected UTEP Miners 26.0-26.0 New Mexico Lobos and gave New Mexico Lobos a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

UTEP Miners
41%
New Mexico Lobos
59%
Projected
Miners 26.0 - 26.0 Lobos

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates New Mexico Lobos as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. UTEP Miners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

UTEP Miners
No recent games on file.
New Mexico Lobos
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: UTEP Miners 41% / New Mexico Lobos 59%. Projected UTEP Miners 26 — 26 New Mexico Lobos.

Our CFB model rates New Mexico Lobos as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. UTEP Miners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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