Air Force Falcons beat Navy Midshipmen 14-9, a 5-points margin. We projected Navy Midshipmen 26.0-26.0 Air Force Falcons and gave Air Force Falcons a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our CFB model rates Air Force Falcons as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Navy Midshipmen would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Navy Midshipmen 41% / Air Force Falcons 59%. Projected Navy Midshipmen 26 — 26 Air Force Falcons.
Our CFB model rates Air Force Falcons as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Navy Midshipmen would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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