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Texas Longhorns vs Oklahoma Sooners — 2026-10-10

3:30 PM ETCotton BowlCFBFINAL
Recap

Oklahoma Sooners beat Texas Longhorns 27-24, a 3-points margin. We projected Texas Longhorns 26.0-26.0 Oklahoma Sooners and gave Oklahoma Sooners a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Texas Longhorns
41%
Oklahoma Sooners
59%
Projected
Longhorns 26.0 - 26.0 Sooners

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Oklahoma Sooners as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Texas Longhorns would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Texas Longhorns
No recent games on file.
Oklahoma Sooners
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Texas Longhorns 41% / Oklahoma Sooners 59%. Projected Texas Longhorns 26 — 26 Oklahoma Sooners.

Our CFB model rates Oklahoma Sooners as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Texas Longhorns would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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