New Mexico Lobos beat New Mexico State Aggies 42-18, a 24-points margin. We projected New Mexico Lobos 26.0-26.0 New Mexico State Aggies and gave New Mexico State Aggies a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our CFB model rates New Mexico State Aggies as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New Mexico Lobos would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: New Mexico Lobos 41% / New Mexico State Aggies 59%. Projected New Mexico Lobos 26 — 26 New Mexico State Aggies.
Our CFB model rates New Mexico State Aggies as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New Mexico Lobos would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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