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North Alabama Lions vs Arkansas Razorbacks — 2026-09-05

4:15 PM ETDonald W. Reynolds Razorback StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Arkansas Razorbacks beat North Alabama Lions 31-14, a 17-points margin. We projected North Alabama Lions 26.0-26.0 Arkansas Razorbacks and gave Arkansas Razorbacks a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

North Alabama Lions
41%
Arkansas Razorbacks
59%
Projected
Lions 26.0 - 26.0 Razorbacks

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Arkansas Razorbacks as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. North Alabama Lions would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

North Alabama Lions
No recent games on file.
Arkansas Razorbacks
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: North Alabama Lions 41% / Arkansas Razorbacks 59%. Projected North Alabama Lions 26 — 26 Arkansas Razorbacks.

Our CFB model rates Arkansas Razorbacks as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. North Alabama Lions would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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