Home › CFB › Penn State Nittany Lions vs Temple Owls

Penn State Nittany Lions vs Temple Owls — 2026-09-12

12:00 PM ETLincoln Financial FieldCFBFINAL
Recap

Penn State Nittany Lions beat Temple Owls 27-9, a 18-points margin. We projected Penn State Nittany Lions 26.0-26.0 Temple Owls and gave Temple Owls a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Penn State Nittany Lions
41%
Temple Owls
59%
Projected
Lions 26.0 - 26.0 Owls

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Temple Owls as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Penn State Nittany Lions would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Penn State Nittany Lions
No recent games on file.
Temple Owls
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Penn State Nittany Lions 41% / Temple Owls 59%. Projected Penn State Nittany Lions 26 — 26 Temple Owls.

Our CFB model rates Temple Owls as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Penn State Nittany Lions would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Get our daily picks in Discord
All sports. Model-backed picks with edge math + analysis. See pricing ->

Signal Labs · model-driven betting analytics. Information shown is for analysis and entertainment only. Must be 21+ to wager where legal. Responsible gambling resources.