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Mercyhurst Lakers vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers — 2026-09-26

7:00 PM ETHouchens Industries-L.T. Smith StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers beat Mercyhurst Lakers 52-7, a 45-points margin. We projected Mercyhurst Lakers 26.0-26.0 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and gave Western Kentucky Hilltoppers a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Mercyhurst Lakers
41%
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
59%
Projected
Lakers 26.0 - 26.0 Hilltoppers

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Western Kentucky Hilltoppers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Mercyhurst Lakers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Mercyhurst Lakers
No recent games on file.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Mercyhurst Lakers 41% / Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 59%. Projected Mercyhurst Lakers 26 — 26 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers.

Our CFB model rates Western Kentucky Hilltoppers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Mercyhurst Lakers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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