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UCF Knights vs Pittsburgh Panthers — 2026-09-12

3:30 PM ETAcrisure StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Pittsburgh Panthers beat UCF Knights 12-7, a 5-points margin. We projected UCF Knights 26.0-26.0 Pittsburgh Panthers and gave Pittsburgh Panthers a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

UCF Knights
41%
Pittsburgh Panthers
59%
Projected
Knights 26.0 - 26.0 Panthers

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Pittsburgh Panthers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. UCF Knights would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

UCF Knights
No recent games on file.
Pittsburgh Panthers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: UCF Knights 41% / Pittsburgh Panthers 59%. Projected UCF Knights 26 — 26 Pittsburgh Panthers.

Our CFB model rates Pittsburgh Panthers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. UCF Knights would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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