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UCF Knights vs Oklahoma State Cowboys — 2026-10-10

12:00 PM ETBoone Pickens StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Oklahoma State Cowboys beat UCF Knights 42-28, a 14-points margin. We projected UCF Knights 26.0-26.0 Oklahoma State Cowboys and gave Oklahoma State Cowboys a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

UCF Knights
41%
Oklahoma State Cowboys
59%
Projected
Knights 26.0 - 26.0 Cowboys

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Oklahoma State Cowboys as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. UCF Knights would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

UCF Knights
No recent games on file.
Oklahoma State Cowboys
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: UCF Knights 41% / Oklahoma State Cowboys 59%. Projected UCF Knights 26 — 26 Oklahoma State Cowboys.

Our CFB model rates Oklahoma State Cowboys as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. UCF Knights would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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