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Army Black Knights vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs — 2026-10-03

7:30 PM ETJoe Aillet StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs beat Army Black Knights 31-29, a 2-points margin. We projected Army Black Knights 26.0-26.0 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and gave Louisiana Tech Bulldogs a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Army Black Knights
41%
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
59%
Projected
Knights 26.0 - 26.0 Bulldogs

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Louisiana Tech Bulldogs as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Army Black Knights would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Army Black Knights
No recent games on file.
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Army Black Knights 41% / Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 59%. Projected Army Black Knights 26 — 26 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs.

Our CFB model rates Louisiana Tech Bulldogs as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Army Black Knights would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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