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South Alabama Jaguars vs Tulane Green Wave — 2026-09-12

7:00 PM ETYulman StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Tulane Green Wave beat South Alabama Jaguars 28-24, a 4-points margin. We projected South Alabama Jaguars 26.0-26.0 Tulane Green Wave and gave Tulane Green Wave a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

South Alabama Jaguars
41%
Tulane Green Wave
59%
Projected
Jaguars 26.0 - 26.0 Wave

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Tulane Green Wave as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. South Alabama Jaguars would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

South Alabama Jaguars
No recent games on file.
Tulane Green Wave
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: South Alabama Jaguars 41% / Tulane Green Wave 59%. Projected South Alabama Jaguars 26 — 26 Tulane Green Wave.

Our CFB model rates Tulane Green Wave as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. South Alabama Jaguars would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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