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Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Purdue Boilermakers — 2026-09-26

2:00 PM ETRoss-Ade StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Notre Dame Fighting Irish beat Purdue Boilermakers 49-10, a 39-points margin. We projected Notre Dame Fighting Irish 26.0-26.0 Purdue Boilermakers and gave Purdue Boilermakers a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
41%
Purdue Boilermakers
59%
Projected
Irish 26.0 - 26.0 Boilermakers

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Purdue Boilermakers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Notre Dame Fighting Irish would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
No recent games on file.
Purdue Boilermakers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Notre Dame Fighting Irish 41% / Purdue Boilermakers 59%. Projected Notre Dame Fighting Irish 26 — 26 Purdue Boilermakers.

Our CFB model rates Purdue Boilermakers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Notre Dame Fighting Irish would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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