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Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs Navy Midshipmen — 2026-10-10

3:30 PM ETNavy-Marine Corps Memorial StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Navy Midshipmen beat Tulsa Golden Hurricane 34-26, a 8-points margin. We projected Tulsa Golden Hurricane 26.0-26.0 Navy Midshipmen and gave Navy Midshipmen a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Tulsa Golden Hurricane
41%
Navy Midshipmen
59%
Projected
Hurricane 26.0 - 26.0 Midshipmen

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Navy Midshipmen as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Tulsa Golden Hurricane would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Tulsa Golden Hurricane
No recent games on file.
Navy Midshipmen
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Tulsa Golden Hurricane 41% / Navy Midshipmen 59%. Projected Tulsa Golden Hurricane 26 — 26 Navy Midshipmen.

Our CFB model rates Navy Midshipmen as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Tulsa Golden Hurricane would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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