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Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs Sam Houston Bearkats — 2026-09-12

7:00 PM ETElliott T. Bowers StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Tulsa Golden Hurricane beat Sam Houston Bearkats 23-17, a 6-points margin. We projected Tulsa Golden Hurricane 26.0-26.0 Sam Houston Bearkats and gave Sam Houston Bearkats a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Tulsa Golden Hurricane
41%
Sam Houston Bearkats
59%
Projected
Hurricane 26.0 - 26.0 Bearkats

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Sam Houston Bearkats as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Tulsa Golden Hurricane would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Tulsa Golden Hurricane
No recent games on file.
Sam Houston Bearkats
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Tulsa Golden Hurricane 41% / Sam Houston Bearkats 59%. Projected Tulsa Golden Hurricane 26 — 26 Sam Houston Bearkats.

Our CFB model rates Sam Houston Bearkats as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Tulsa Golden Hurricane would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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