Troy Trojans beat Alabama State Hornets 34-17, a 17-points margin. We projected Alabama State Hornets 26.0-26.0 Troy Trojans and gave Troy Trojans a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our CFB model rates Troy Trojans as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Alabama State Hornets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Alabama State Hornets 41% / Troy Trojans 59%. Projected Alabama State Hornets 26 — 26 Troy Trojans.
Our CFB model rates Troy Trojans as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Alabama State Hornets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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