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Sacramento State Hornets vs Eastern Michigan Eagles — 2026-08-29

6:30 PM ETRynearson StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Eastern Michigan Eagles beat Sacramento State Hornets 28-17, a 11-points margin. We projected Sacramento State Hornets 26.0-26.0 Eastern Michigan Eagles and gave Eastern Michigan Eagles a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Sacramento State Hornets
41%
Eastern Michigan Eagles
59%
Projected
Hornets 26.0 - 26.0 Eagles

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Eastern Michigan Eagles as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Sacramento State Hornets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Sacramento State Hornets
No recent games on file.
Eastern Michigan Eagles
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Sacramento State Hornets 41% / Eastern Michigan Eagles 59%. Projected Sacramento State Hornets 26 — 26 Eastern Michigan Eagles.

Our CFB model rates Eastern Michigan Eagles as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Sacramento State Hornets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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