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Virginia Tech Hokies vs California Golden Bears — 2026-10-10

3:30 PM ETCalifornia Memorial StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

California Golden Bears beat Virginia Tech Hokies 25-20, a 5-points margin. We projected Virginia Tech Hokies 26.0-26.0 California Golden Bears and gave California Golden Bears a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Virginia Tech Hokies
41%
California Golden Bears
59%
Projected
Hokies 26.0 - 26.0 Bears

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates California Golden Bears as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Virginia Tech Hokies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Virginia Tech Hokies
No recent games on file.
California Golden Bears
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Virginia Tech Hokies 41% / California Golden Bears 59%. Projected Virginia Tech Hokies 26 — 26 California Golden Bears.

Our CFB model rates California Golden Bears as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Virginia Tech Hokies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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