James Madison Dukes beat Marshall Thundering Herd 45-17, a 28-points margin. We projected Marshall Thundering Herd 26.0-26.0 James Madison Dukes and gave James Madison Dukes a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our CFB model rates James Madison Dukes as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Marshall Thundering Herd would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Marshall Thundering Herd 41% / James Madison Dukes 59%. Projected Marshall Thundering Herd 26 — 26 James Madison Dukes.
Our CFB model rates James Madison Dukes as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Marshall Thundering Herd would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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