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North Texas Mean Green vs Indiana Hoosiers — 2026-09-05

12:00 PM ETMemorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)CFBFINAL
Recap

Indiana Hoosiers beat North Texas Mean Green 52-16, a 36-points margin. We projected North Texas Mean Green 26.0-26.0 Indiana Hoosiers and gave Indiana Hoosiers a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

North Texas Mean Green
41%
Indiana Hoosiers
59%
Projected
Green 26.0 - 26.0 Hoosiers

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Indiana Hoosiers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. North Texas Mean Green would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

North Texas Mean Green
No recent games on file.
Indiana Hoosiers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: North Texas Mean Green 41% / Indiana Hoosiers 59%. Projected North Texas Mean Green 26 — 26 Indiana Hoosiers.

Our CFB model rates Indiana Hoosiers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. North Texas Mean Green would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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