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Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers — 2026-10-03

3:50 PM ETMemorial StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Missouri Tigers beat Florida Gators 45-17, a 28-points margin. We projected Florida Gators 26.0-26.0 Missouri Tigers and gave Missouri Tigers a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Florida Gators
41%
Missouri Tigers
59%
Projected
Gators 26.0 - 26.0 Tigers

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Missouri Tigers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Florida Gators would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Florida Gators
No recent games on file.
Missouri Tigers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Florida Gators 41% / Missouri Tigers 59%. Projected Florida Gators 26 — 26 Missouri Tigers.

Our CFB model rates Missouri Tigers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Florida Gators would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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