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Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs North Dakota State Bison — 2026-08-29

5:30 PM ETFargodomeCFBFINAL
Recap

North Dakota State Bison beat Jacksonville State Gamecocks 33-7, a 26-points margin. We projected Jacksonville State Gamecocks 26.0-26.0 North Dakota State Bison and gave North Dakota State Bison a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Jacksonville State Gamecocks
41%
North Dakota State Bison
59%
Projected
Gamecocks 26.0 - 26.0 Bison

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates North Dakota State Bison as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Jacksonville State Gamecocks would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Jacksonville State Gamecocks
No recent games on file.
North Dakota State Bison
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Jacksonville State Gamecocks 41% / North Dakota State Bison 59%. Projected Jacksonville State Gamecocks 26 — 26 North Dakota State Bison.

Our CFB model rates North Dakota State Bison as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Jacksonville State Gamecocks would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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