UCF Knights beat TCU Horned Frogs 21-13, a 8-points margin. We projected TCU Horned Frogs 26.0-26.0 UCF Knights and gave UCF Knights a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our CFB model rates UCF Knights as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. TCU Horned Frogs would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: TCU Horned Frogs 41% / UCF Knights 59%. Projected TCU Horned Frogs 26 — 26 UCF Knights.
Our CFB model rates UCF Knights as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. TCU Horned Frogs would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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