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Liberty Flames vs James Madison Dukes — 2026-09-05

12:00 PM ETBridgeforth StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

James Madison Dukes beat Liberty Flames 20-13, a 7-points margin. We projected Liberty Flames 26.0-26.0 James Madison Dukes and gave James Madison Dukes a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Liberty Flames
41%
James Madison Dukes
59%
Projected
Flames 26.0 - 26.0 Dukes

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates James Madison Dukes as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Liberty Flames would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Liberty Flames
No recent games on file.
James Madison Dukes
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Liberty Flames 41% / James Madison Dukes 59%. Projected Liberty Flames 26 — 26 James Madison Dukes.

Our CFB model rates James Madison Dukes as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Liberty Flames would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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