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Eastern Michigan Eagles vs Michigan State Spartans — 2026-09-12

3:30 PM ETSpartan StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Michigan State Spartans beat Eastern Michigan Eagles 35-7, a 28-points margin. We projected Eastern Michigan Eagles 26.0-26.0 Michigan State Spartans and gave Michigan State Spartans a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Eastern Michigan Eagles
41%
Michigan State Spartans
59%
Projected
Eagles 26.0 - 26.0 Spartans

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Michigan State Spartans as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Eastern Michigan Eagles would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Eastern Michigan Eagles
No recent games on file.
Michigan State Spartans
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Eastern Michigan Eagles 41% / Michigan State Spartans 59%. Projected Eastern Michigan Eagles 26 — 26 Michigan State Spartans.

Our CFB model rates Michigan State Spartans as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Eastern Michigan Eagles would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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