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North Carolina Central Eagles vs East Carolina Pirates — 2026-09-26

4:00 PM ETDowdy-Ficklen StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

East Carolina Pirates beat North Carolina Central Eagles 42-9, a 33-points margin. We projected North Carolina Central Eagles 26.0-26.0 East Carolina Pirates and gave East Carolina Pirates a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

North Carolina Central Eagles
41%
East Carolina Pirates
59%
Projected
Eagles 26.0 - 26.0 Pirates

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates East Carolina Pirates as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. North Carolina Central Eagles would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

North Carolina Central Eagles
No recent games on file.
East Carolina Pirates
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: North Carolina Central Eagles 41% / East Carolina Pirates 59%. Projected North Carolina Central Eagles 26 — 26 East Carolina Pirates.

Our CFB model rates East Carolina Pirates as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. North Carolina Central Eagles would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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