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Eastern Michigan Eagles vs Massachusetts Minutemen — 2026-10-03

3:30 PM ETWarren McGuirk Alumni StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Eastern Michigan Eagles beat Massachusetts Minutemen 38-14, a 24-points margin. We projected Eastern Michigan Eagles 26.0-26.0 Massachusetts Minutemen and gave Massachusetts Minutemen a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Eastern Michigan Eagles
41%
Massachusetts Minutemen
59%
Projected
Eagles 26.0 - 26.0 Minutemen

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Massachusetts Minutemen as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Eastern Michigan Eagles would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Eastern Michigan Eagles
No recent games on file.
Massachusetts Minutemen
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Eastern Michigan Eagles 41% / Massachusetts Minutemen 59%. Projected Eastern Michigan Eagles 26 — 26 Massachusetts Minutemen.

Our CFB model rates Massachusetts Minutemen as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Eastern Michigan Eagles would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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