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Oregon Ducks vs USC Trojans — 2026-09-26

7:30 PM ETLos Angeles Memorial ColiseumCFBFINAL
Recap

Oregon Ducks beat USC Trojans 41-27, a 14-points margin. We projected Oregon Ducks 26.0-26.0 USC Trojans and gave USC Trojans a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Oregon Ducks
41%
USC Trojans
59%
Projected
Ducks 26.0 - 26.0 Trojans

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates USC Trojans as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Oregon Ducks would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Oregon Ducks
No recent games on file.
USC Trojans
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Oregon Ducks 41% / USC Trojans 59%. Projected Oregon Ducks 26 — 26 USC Trojans.

Our CFB model rates USC Trojans as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Oregon Ducks would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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