Duke Blue Devils beat Illinois Fighting Illini 31-27, a 4-points margin. We projected Duke Blue Devils 26.0-26.0 Illinois Fighting Illini and gave Illinois Fighting Illini a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our CFB model rates Illinois Fighting Illini as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Duke Blue Devils would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Duke Blue Devils 41% / Illinois Fighting Illini 59%. Projected Duke Blue Devils 26 — 26 Illinois Fighting Illini.
Our CFB model rates Illinois Fighting Illini as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Duke Blue Devils would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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