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Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Louisville Cardinals — 2026-09-26

12:00 PM ETL&N Federal Credit Union StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Wake Forest Demon Deacons beat Louisville Cardinals 30-27, a 3-points margin. We projected Wake Forest Demon Deacons 26.0-26.0 Louisville Cardinals and gave Louisville Cardinals a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Wake Forest Demon Deacons
41%
Louisville Cardinals
59%
Projected
Deacons 26.0 - 26.0 Cardinals

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Louisville Cardinals as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Wake Forest Demon Deacons would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Wake Forest Demon Deacons
No recent games on file.
Louisville Cardinals
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Wake Forest Demon Deacons 41% / Louisville Cardinals 59%. Projected Wake Forest Demon Deacons 26 — 26 Louisville Cardinals.

Our CFB model rates Louisville Cardinals as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Wake Forest Demon Deacons would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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