Iowa Hawkeyes beat Iowa State Cyclones 16-13, a 3-points margin. We projected Iowa State Cyclones 26.0-26.0 Iowa Hawkeyes and gave Iowa Hawkeyes a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our CFB model rates Iowa Hawkeyes as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Iowa State Cyclones would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Iowa State Cyclones 41% / Iowa Hawkeyes 59%. Projected Iowa State Cyclones 26 — 26 Iowa Hawkeyes.
Our CFB model rates Iowa Hawkeyes as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Iowa State Cyclones would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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