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Oklahoma State Cowboys vs West Virginia Mountaineers — 2026-09-26

7:00 PM ETMilan Puskar StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Oklahoma State Cowboys beat West Virginia Mountaineers 41-24, a 17-points margin. We projected Oklahoma State Cowboys 26.0-26.0 West Virginia Mountaineers and gave West Virginia Mountaineers a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Oklahoma State Cowboys
41%
West Virginia Mountaineers
59%
Projected
Cowboys 26.0 - 26.0 Mountaineers

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates West Virginia Mountaineers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Oklahoma State Cowboys would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Oklahoma State Cowboys
No recent games on file.
West Virginia Mountaineers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Oklahoma State Cowboys 41% / West Virginia Mountaineers 59%. Projected Oklahoma State Cowboys 26 — 26 West Virginia Mountaineers.

Our CFB model rates West Virginia Mountaineers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Oklahoma State Cowboys would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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