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Wyoming Cowboys vs North Dakota State Bison — 2026-10-03

3:30 PM ETFargodomeCFBFINAL
Recap

North Dakota State Bison beat Wyoming Cowboys 28-0, a 28-points margin. We projected Wyoming Cowboys 26.0-26.0 North Dakota State Bison and gave North Dakota State Bison a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Wyoming Cowboys
41%
North Dakota State Bison
59%
Projected
Cowboys 26.0 - 26.0 Bison

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates North Dakota State Bison as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Wyoming Cowboys would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Wyoming Cowboys
No recent games on file.
North Dakota State Bison
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Wyoming Cowboys 41% / North Dakota State Bison 59%. Projected Wyoming Cowboys 26 — 26 North Dakota State Bison.

Our CFB model rates North Dakota State Bison as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Wyoming Cowboys would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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