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Houston Cougars vs Kansas State Wildcats — 2026-10-10

3:30 PM ETBill Snyder Family StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Houston Cougars beat Kansas State Wildcats 35-16, a 19-points margin. We projected Houston Cougars 26.0-26.0 Kansas State Wildcats and gave Kansas State Wildcats a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Houston Cougars
41%
Kansas State Wildcats
59%
Projected
Cougars 26.0 - 26.0 Wildcats

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Kansas State Wildcats as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Cougars would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Houston Cougars
No recent games on file.
Kansas State Wildcats
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Houston Cougars 41% / Kansas State Wildcats 59%. Projected Houston Cougars 26 — 26 Kansas State Wildcats.

Our CFB model rates Kansas State Wildcats as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Cougars would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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