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Houston Cougars vs Georgia Southern Eagles — 2026-09-26

4:00 PM ETAllen E. Paulson StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Houston Cougars beat Georgia Southern Eagles 42-28, a 14-points margin. We projected Houston Cougars 26.0-26.0 Georgia Southern Eagles and gave Georgia Southern Eagles a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Houston Cougars
41%
Georgia Southern Eagles
59%
Projected
Cougars 26.0 - 26.0 Eagles

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Georgia Southern Eagles as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Cougars would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Houston Cougars
No recent games on file.
Georgia Southern Eagles
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Houston Cougars 41% / Georgia Southern Eagles 59%. Projected Houston Cougars 26 — 26 Georgia Southern Eagles.

Our CFB model rates Georgia Southern Eagles as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Cougars would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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