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Vanderbilt Commodores vs Georgia Bulldogs — 2026-10-03

12:45 PM ETSanford StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Georgia Bulldogs beat Vanderbilt Commodores 38-14, a 24-points margin. We projected Vanderbilt Commodores 26.0-26.0 Georgia Bulldogs and gave Georgia Bulldogs a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Vanderbilt Commodores
41%
Georgia Bulldogs
59%
Projected
Commodores 26.0 - 26.0 Bulldogs

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Georgia Bulldogs as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Vanderbilt Commodores would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Vanderbilt Commodores
No recent games on file.
Georgia Bulldogs
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Vanderbilt Commodores 41% / Georgia Bulldogs 59%. Projected Vanderbilt Commodores 26 — 26 Georgia Bulldogs.

Our CFB model rates Georgia Bulldogs as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Vanderbilt Commodores would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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