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Nicholls Colonels vs Kansas State Wildcats — 2026-09-05

7:00 PM ETBill Snyder Family StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Kansas State Wildcats beat Nicholls Colonels 71-3, a 68-points margin. We projected Nicholls Colonels 26.0-26.0 Kansas State Wildcats and gave Kansas State Wildcats a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Nicholls Colonels
41%
Kansas State Wildcats
59%
Projected
Colonels 26.0 - 26.0 Wildcats

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Kansas State Wildcats as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Nicholls Colonels would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Nicholls Colonels
No recent games on file.
Kansas State Wildcats
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Nicholls Colonels 41% / Kansas State Wildcats 59%. Projected Nicholls Colonels 26 — 26 Kansas State Wildcats.

Our CFB model rates Kansas State Wildcats as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Nicholls Colonels would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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