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Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs Marshall Thundering Herd — 2026-10-10

7:00 PM ETJoan C. Edwards StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers beat Marshall Thundering Herd 27-21, a 6-points margin. We projected Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 26.0-26.0 Marshall Thundering Herd and gave Marshall Thundering Herd a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
41%
Marshall Thundering Herd
59%
Projected
Chanticleers 26.0 - 26.0 Herd

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Marshall Thundering Herd as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
No recent games on file.
Marshall Thundering Herd
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 41% / Marshall Thundering Herd 59%. Projected Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 26 — 26 Marshall Thundering Herd.

Our CFB model rates Marshall Thundering Herd as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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